Cumberland is slumping after having a decent season last year when they made it to the Group 3 playoffs only to lose to Group runner-up Hammonton. All four loses were to powerful teams: Tri-County Royal champion Williamstown, Group 2 Champion Delsea, Non-Public palyoff contender and perhaps the best Non-Public in South Jersey last year, Gloucester Catholic, and Hammonton.
In 2007, Cumberland was 7-3, losing to Williamstown, Clearview and Shawnee (which won Group 3 in 2007 & 2008).
In 2006, they were 1-9 and are in danger of going back to that record this year.
They have lost this year to powerful Delsea 35-0 and a possibly improved highland team 17-3. The loss to highland is very revealing and indicative of a downturn in the program, but they are a Group 3 school and the Bulldogs must not take them lightly.
Although the power points system has changed and beating a team from a bigger group does not gain you as many points, it is still very important that the Dogs beat their 2 Group 3 and 1 Group 2 opponents. (They also have another Group 2 opponent after the playoffs cut-off.) Keeping power points in mind, we would like for Cumberalnd to do better against other opponents. The loss to Highland cost us an anticipated point. At this point only Deptford looks a possible victory and that is not guaranteed.
Looking at power points:
You get 6 points for a win + one point for the Group number of the opponent (Group 3 Cumberland will give us 6 for the win and 3 for the group for 9 points)
You get 3 points for each win by a team you defeated (so if Cumberland does not win a game, we gain 0 for this criteria.
So:
Salem, Schalick, PG, PV, Woodstown and Gloucester have 11 games against each other which (assuming that the Bulldogs win) yields (5 x 6) + (11 x 3) for 63 points.
These teams have 12 games against Pitman, Clayton and Wildwood, which assuming they all win those games, would give us (12 x 3) 36 points which increses the total to 99 points.
A minimum of 9 points for beating Cumberlannd would then give us 108 points
Kingsway gives us a minimum of 12 as they already have one win which now gives us 120
points.
PG beat Clearview and PV beat Deptford so 6 more points gives us 126.
For more points, we need Kingsway to win some games - most likely against Cumberland and Deptford. We need Gloucester to beat Highland (tough call at this point). Pennsville plays Middle Twp. and they should win. PG plays Buena and it is a tough call but Buena won last year.
So, I anticipate at least 3 wins from those match-ups for 9 more points for a total of 135.
Now what about Paulsboro?
8 wins against 6 Group 1 teams and 2 Group 2 teams, gives them (8 x 6) + (6 x 1) + (2 x 2) = 58.
Their opponents play each other 16 times for (3 x 16) 48 more points = 106.
Their opponents have 12 games aginst West Deptford and Haddonfield which they should not win.
Their opponents have 6 games against Overbrook which they should win for (6 x 3) 18 more points = 124 total for Paulsboro.
If I goofed in these calculations, respond by hitting "comments" at the bottom of this post.
With an 11 point anticipated advantage, Glassboro could lose to Cumberland (and lose 9 points), but loses to other teams could hurt.
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